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我国地震又进入了新的活跃期,几亿人在担心如果明天有大地震能预报吗?当前世界各国地震专家认为地震预报比癌症更难对付。1975年海城地震的成功预报避免了10万人死亡,减少40亿元的经济损失。海城大震前除微观异常以外还获得了大量的宏观前兆,广大群众发现和报告这些宏观异常现象是成功预报的重要内容。而唐山大震前也有明显的动物、井水等宏观前兆,但没能作出预报,为此我们应该汲取几十万人殉难的惨痛教训。
Earthquake in China has entered a new active period, hundreds of millions of people are worried about if there is a big earthquake tomorrow can predict it? Earthquake experts from around the world that earthquake prediction more difficult to deal with cancer. The successful prediction of the Haicheng earthquake in 1975 avoided 100,000 deaths and reduced the economic losses by 4 billion yuan. Before the Haicheng earthquake, a great number of macro-precursors were obtained in addition to the micro-anomalies. The broad masses of people who discovered and reported these macro-anomalies were important contents of successful forecasts. Before the Tangshan earthquake, there were obvious macroeconomic precursors such as animals and well water, but they did not make any forecast. Therefore, we should learn the painful lesson of the martyrdom of hundreds of thousands of people.