长三角地区是我国制造业发展的主要基地,本文以长三角制造业发展的特征性事实为基础,从动态视角分析研究2002、2006、2010年上海、浙江等地27个细分产业转移变化,建立空间计量模型,研究该区域集聚效应。结果表明:长三角地区部分省市集聚水平正在降低,上海制造业向高技术含量、高创新效率方向发展,在其产业转移中,高消耗及劳动密集型的产业,为浙江主要承接对象,长三角存在集聚特点。最后笔者从资源配置、环境改善及产业发展调整,交通基础设施完善,教育体制改革与人才流动等方面提出促进长三角地区制造业发展的对策。 The Yangtze River Delta is the main base for the development of manufacturing industry in our country. Based on the characteristic facts of the manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta, this paper analyzes the changes of 27 sub-industries in Shanghai, Zhejiang and other places from 2002 to 2006, Establish a spatial econometric model to study the regional agglomeration effect. The results show that the level of agglomeration in some provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Delta is declining. Manufacturing in Shanghai is developing towards high-tech and high-efficiency innovation. In its industrial transfer, high-consumption and labor-intensive industries are the main targets of Zhejiang Province. Triangular existence of clustering characteristics. Finally, the author puts forward some countermeasures to promote the development of the manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta from the aspects of resource allocation, environmental improvement and adjustment of industrial development, improvement of traffic infrastructure, educational system reform and human resources flow.