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通过对湖南省粮食生产结构、消费结构的分析及消费量的预测 ,得出湖南中长期粮食需求量 2 0 0 0年为2 70 0～ 30 0 0万t,2 0 1 0年 32 0 0～ 35 0 0万t,2 0 2 0年 370 0～ 430 0万t ,2 0 30年 42 0 0～ 5 0 0 0万t。粮食安全的基本(数量 )保障 ,须粮食总产年增长 1 %～ 1 6 %。主要矛盾是粮食的结构安全与经济的发展相互制约。提出了缺粮区实施安全工程 ,产粮区建设特、优基地及提高粮食生产的经济效益和原粮的转化率措施等应对策略
Through the analysis of grain production structure, consumption structure and consumption in Hunan Province, we can conclude that the medium and long-term grain demand in Hunan is 270 ~ 300 million t in 2000 and 320 in 2010 ~ 350 million t, 370 0 ~ 430 0 t in 2020, 42 0 0 ~ 50 000 t in 2030. The basic (quantity) guarantee of food security needs to increase the total grain output by 1% ~ 16%. The main contradiction is the structural security of food and the economic development of each other. Put forward some countermeasures such as implementing safety engineering in food-deficit areas, establishing special and superior bases in grain-producing areas, and improving the economic benefits of food production and the conversion rate of raw grains