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近日,美术基金(Fine Art Fund Group)首席执行官菲利普·霍夫曼(Philip Hoffman)做出预测:在未来的10年中,富有人群中拥有艺术品人群比例将由目前的5%上升至40%如果以凯捷美林(CapGemini)最新发布的《2013世界财富报告》中对世界超高净值人群(Ultra-high net worth population)规模的估算——111,000人为计算基础,霍夫曼的预测意味着在未来10年中涉足收藏的富人数量将由5500人上升至44,000人,而若将1200万高净值人群(high net worth population)整体包含在内的话,涉足艺术品收藏的富人的数量将达到惊人的480万。尽管这种经验性、直觉性的预测与草率的计算方式缺少严肃的数据与理论支持,不能作为科学研究的依
Recently, Philip Hoffman, chief executive of the Fine Art Fund Group, predicted that in the next 10 years, the proportion of people with rich art in the rich will increase from the current 5% to 40% If the estimated size of the world’s ultra-high net worth population in the world’s wealth report 2013 by CapGemini - 111,000 people - is calculated, Hoffman’s prediction means that at The number of wealthy people involved in the collection will rise from 5,500 to 44,000 in the next 10 years, while the number of wealthy people involved in the art collection will be staggering if the overall high net worth population of 12 million is included 4.8 million. Although such empirical and intuitionistic predictions and sloppy calculations lack serious data and theoretical support, they can not be used as scientific research