日本气象厅1986年1月28日称,日本一科学家利用计算机化的设备已成功地预报了火山喷发,其准确率几乎为90％。负责领导由政府指定的火山喷发预报专家小组的小鹤大辅教授说,“他是第一个成功者,并且向建立预报火山喷发系统迈出了可贵的一步。”日本气象厅的一位发言人介绍说,该报告是由京都大学加茂幸介教授在1月27日的一次专家会议上所做的。加茂说,他于1985年12月在1,100米高的樱岛火山进行了观测,该火山是日本九州岛端部最活跃的火山之一。他的专家小组通过利用计算机化的测量,能够预报了该火山于1985年12月3日至29日发生的39次中 Japan Meteorological Agency January 28, 1986 said that a Japanese scientist using computerized equipment has been successful in predicting volcanic eruptions, the accuracy rate of almost 90%. Professor Kobayashi Daisuke, who leads the government-appointed volcano eruption forecast panel, said: “He was the first successful person and took a valuable step toward establishing a system for forecasting volcanic eruptions.” A statement by the Japan Meteorological Agency The person said that the report was made by a professor at Kyoto University KAMAMURA Yusuke on January 27 at an expert meeting. Kamo said he observed the 1,100-meter-high Sakurajima volcano in December 1985 as one of the most active volcanoes on the tip of Kyushu Island in Japan. His team of experts, using computerized measurements, was able to predict the volcano’s 39 occurrences from December 3 to 29, 1985