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笔者使用中国省际面板数据,运用Granger就财政支出对社会稳定的影响进行非因果性检验发现公共安全财政支出是社会稳定的单向Granger原因,表明以公共安全财政支出变量变化预测社会稳定形势具有显著的统计学意义。鉴于此,公共安全财政支出安排应参照社会稳定形势变化进行动态调整,使其契合中国社会对公共安全保障要求。
By using non-causality test of Granger’s non-causal test on the influence of fiscal expenditure on social stability, we find that the fiscal expenditure of public safety is one-way Granger cause of social stability, which indicates that the forecast of social stability with the change of public security expenditure expenditure has Significant statistical significance. In view of this, public security expenditure arrangements should be dynamically adjusted to changes in the social stability so that it meets the requirements of Chinese society for public safety and security.