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高等教育发展与产业结构升级之间具有密切关系。本文利用1998—2012年间的数据,在VAR模型估计的基础上,使用协整检验、脉冲响应、方差分解和Granger因果关系检验对高等教育发展与产业结构升级之间的动态影响关系做了实证研究。结果发现,高等教育投入经费不利于我国产业结构升级;而高等教育毕业生促进了我国产业结构高级化进程,并且是其调整优化的Granger原因。
There is a close relationship between the development of higher education and the upgrading of industrial structure. Based on the VAR model estimation, this paper uses the co-integration test, impulse response, variance decomposition and Granger causality test to make an empirical study on the dynamic relationship between the development of higher education and the upgrading of industrial structure by using the data from 1998 to 2012 . As a result, it is found that the investment in higher education is not conducive to the upgrading of China’s industrial structure; and higher education graduates to promote the process of China’s industrial structure, and its adjustment and optimization of Granger reason.