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本文以环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)理论为基础,选取了新疆1990～2009年的工业“三废”排放量作为衡量环境质量指标,建立了工业“三废”排放量与人均GDP之间的计量模型,对新疆工业三废排放量与人均GDP之间的动态关系进行了实证研究。研究表明:新疆工业废水排放量与人均GDP之间不存在明显的环境库兹涅曲线关系,而工业废气排放量、工业固废排放量、工业三废总量与人均GDP之间均呈“U”形曲线关系。由于工业废气、工业固废的排放对生态环境的压力影响明显,其增长率的提高会加大对生态环境的压力,并延缓环境库兹涅茨曲线拐点的到来,新疆政府应加强对生态环境压力增大问题的重视,积极采取相关政策和手段,以便使生态环境与经济增长之间协调可持续发展。
Based on the theory of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), this paper selects the industrial “three wastes” emission from 1990 to 2009 in Xinjiang as an indicator of environmental quality, and establishes the relationship between industrial “three wastes” emissions and GDP per capita The econometric model is used to study the dynamic relationship between the emission of industrial wastes and the per capita GDP in Xinjiang. The results show that there is no obvious environmental Kuznet curve between the discharge of industrial wastewater and per capita GDP in Xinjiang, while the emissions of industrial emissions, industrial solid waste emissions, the total amount of industrial waste and per capita GDP show a “U” "-shaped curve relationship. Due to the obvious impact of industrial waste gas and industrial solid waste emissions on the ecological environment pressure, the increase of its growth rate will increase the pressure on the ecological environment and delay the arrival of the turning point of the environmental Kuznets Curve. The Xinjiang government should strengthen the ecological environment Stress the issue of increasing attention, and actively take the relevant policies and measures in order to make the ecological environment and economic growth coordinated and sustainable development.