宏观经济波动是市场经济的常态,财政政策作为国家调控宏观经济的一种必要手段,对经济变量的变化与走势产生了巨大的影响。本论文通过对税收收入、财政支出的分析,基于向量误差修正模型,刻画出这两个经济变量与投资、消费之间的计量变动关系。控制税收收入和财政支出的财政政策,与消费量和投资量之间存在长期的稳定关系。 Macroeconomic fluctuations are the normal state of the market economy. As a necessary means for the state to regulate and control the macro economy, fiscal policies have a tremendous impact on the changes and trends of economic variables. Based on the analysis of tax revenue and expenditure, this dissertation depicts the relationship between the two economic variables and the measurement and change of investment and consumption based on vector error correction model. There is a long-term, stable relationship between fiscal policies that control tax revenues and fiscal expenditures, and the amount of consumption and investment.