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2011年中国经济总量已超过日本成为世界第二大经济体,这意味着中国已走上了直接赶超美国的道路。从趋势看,不管国内外各类研究机构如何预测,在经济总量上中国赶超美国是迟早的事,也是本世纪前半叶必将发生的影响世界经济格局的重大事件。同年,中国当年制造业的增加值首次并显然是不可逆转地超过美国而成为全球制造业第一大国。但是,在中国以远超过世界各国增长速度昂首跨入新世纪第二个十年的时候,对中国未来经济发展的可持续性也引起了国内外的热议——
China’s total economic output in 2011 surpassed that of Japan as the world’s second largest economy, which means that China has embarked on a path that directly catches up with the United States. From a trend perspective, no matter how various types of research institutions at home and abroad predict, it is a matter of time before China catches up with and surpasses the United States in the total economic output. It is also a major event that will surely affect the world economic pattern in the first half of this century. In the same year, for the first time, the added value of manufacturing in China for the first time was apparently irreversibly overtaking the United States and becoming the largest manufacturing country in the world. However, as China surpasses the growth rate of all other countries in the world and heads into the second decade of the new century, the sustainability of China’s future economic development has also drawn heated debates at home and abroad -