Water resources response and prediction under climate change in Tao'er River Basin,Northeast Ch

来源 :山地科学学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:zhochg
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Climate change has significantly affected hydrological processes and increased the frequency and severity of water shortage,droughts and floods in northeast China.A study has been conducted to quantify the influence of climate change on the hydrologic process in the Tao\'er River Basin(TRB),one of the most prominent regions in northeast China for water contradiction.The Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT)model was calibrated and validated with observed land use and hydro-climatic data and then employed for runoff simulations at upper,middle and lower reaches of the river basin for different climate change scenarios.The results showed that a gradual increase in temperature and decrease in annual precipitation in the basin was projected for the period 2020-2050 for both representative concentration pathways(RCP)4.5 and 8.5 scenarios.The climate changes would cause a decrease in annual average runoff at basin outlet by 12 and 23 million m3 for RCP4.5 and 8.5,respectively.The future runoff in the upstream and midstream of the basin during 2020-2050 would be-10.8%and-12.1%lower than the observed runoff compared to the base period for RCP4.5,while those would be-5.3%and-10.7%lower for RCP8.5.The future runoff will decrease at three hydrology stations for the assumed future climate scenarios.The results can help us understand the future temperature and precipitation trends and the hydrological cycle process under different climate change scenarios,and provide the basis for the rational allocation and management of water resources under the influence of future climate change in the TRB.
其他文献
On 28th July 2018,a massive landslide occurred in a mountainous area in Northern Thailand.The landslide after ten days of heavy rainfall generated the movement of uphill mountain soil into the populated village.This study presents a comprehensive failure
As an important ecotone,the alpine timberline is the boundary between closed-canopy montane forest and alpine vegetation,and is highly sensitive to global and regional climate changes.We provided a way to identify and extract the alpine timberline in Yarl
An accurate landslide displacement prediction is an important part of landslide warning system.Aiming at the dynamic characteristics of landslide evolution and the shortcomings of traditional static prediction models,this paper proposes a dynamic predicti
Vegetation coverage recovery after the Wenchuan earthquake has important implications for preventing post-seismic geohazards and soil erosion.However,spatiotemporal changes in vegetation coverage recovery and its driving factors have not been sufficiently
采用能量不等式方法并结合冻结系数法,对一阶线性变系数对流方程迎风格式的稳定性进行研究,得到迎风格式稳定性的条件,并通过数值实验验证稳定性分析理论的正确性.
提出了一种通过偏振模式耦合方式实现分布反馈光纤激光器保偏输出的方法,分布反馈光纤激光器是由刻写在有源光纤上的相移光栅构成的一种窄线宽光源.由于侧面紫外曝光过程造成的光纤极化,这种光纤光栅激光具有线偏振特性,但光路结构一般是由单模光纤构成,因此激光的线偏振特性无法保持.通过监测激光偏振耦合输出功率,可以间接识别激光线偏振方向,将激光线偏振方向和保偏尾纤二次耦合熔接,可以实现窄线宽分布反馈光纤激光的保偏输出.实验得到了偏振消光比大于30 dB,输出稳定线偏振光的分布反馈光纤激光器,且激光效率、线宽、噪声等较原
The Andean forests of northern Ecuador are known for their high levels of plant diversity relative to the area they occupy.Typically,these forests grow on steep slopes that lead to dramatic habitat gradients across short distances.These extreme habitat gr
Non-farm income sources are important for livelihood sustenance,especially in the mountainous regions of developing countries.To implement effective policies to improve economic development,policymakers need insights at the grassroots level.Yet,there is a
Along the Czech-German border there are four national parks,two Czech and two German,arranged in cross-border \'pairs\'.This article focuses on the southern \'pair\'formed by the parks of (S)umava and Bayerischer Wald (Bavarian Forest).The aim is
To protect and promote the originality and authenticity of mountain foodstuffs,the European Union set Regulation No 1151/2012 to create the optional quality term “mountain product”.Our research aimed at exploring the attractiveness of the mountain product