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中国特色新型工业化与经济增长的动力条件在本质上具有一致性,实证研究表明,消费、投资、出口与工业增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,本文构建了一个协整模型来测度市场动力与新型工业化之间的量化关系。长期来看,消费对工业化的影响最大,投资次之,出口的影响最小。短期内,中国工业化水平受投资的影响最大,其次是消费,最小的是出口。滞后变量模型表明消费、投资、出口与中国特色新型工业化存在典型的滞后效应,其中消费的影响最大,其次是投资和出口。
The dynamic conditions of new industrialization and economic growth with Chinese characteristics are essentially consistent. Empirical studies show that there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between consumption, investment, export and industrial growth. This paper constructs a cointegration model to measure the relationship between market dynamics and Quantitative relationship between new industrialization. In the long run, consumption will have the greatest impact on industrialization, followed by investment, with the least impact on exports. In the short run, the level of China’s industrialization is most affected by investment, followed by consumption, with the smallest being exports. The lagged variable model shows that there is a typical lag effect between consumption, investment, export and new industrialization with Chinese characteristics, with the greatest impact on consumption, followed by investment and exports.