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●由于资源禀赋不同,世界各国的销售电价水平差异巨大。以汇率为基准,中国的销售电价低于大多数发达国家;同时,存在明显的历史性差异和地区性差异。●我国销售电价与经济景气周期密切相关,但受政府管制波动幅度较小。电价的地区性差异将长期存在,而历史性差异则将随市场化竞价而趋于平均。●综合电价机制和成本两方面因素,我们认为,未来促使上网电价水平变化的既有上升的因素也有下降的因素。预计近2年内小幅上涨,长期基本稳定。
● Due to different resource endowments, the sales price in different countries in the world varies greatly. Based on the exchange rate, China’s sales price is lower than most developed countries; at the same time, there are obvious historical differences and regional differences. ● The sales price of electricity in China is closely related to the economic cycle, but it is subject to less fluctuation by the government. Regional differences in electricity prices will persist for a long time, while historic differences will tend to average with market-based bidding. ● Based on the two factors of the electricity price mechanism and cost, we think there are both rising factors and declining factors that will drive the price change of the on-grid electricity price in the future. Expected to rise slightly in the last two years, long-term basic stability.