Time-variant reliability analysis of three-dimensional slopes based on Support Vector Machine method

来源 :中南大学学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:zt20032053
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In the reliability analysis of slope,the performance functions derived from the most available stability analysis procedures of slopes are usually implicit and cannot be solved by first-order second-moment approach.A new reliability analysis approach was presented based on three-dimensional Morgenstern-Price method to investigate three-dimensional effect of landslide in stability analyses.To obtain the reliability index,Support Vector Machine (SVM) was applied to approximate the performance function.The time-consuming of this approach is only 0.028% of that using Monte-Carlo method at the same computation accuracy.Also,the influence of time effect of shearing strength parameters of slope soils on the long-term reliability of three-dimensional slopes was investigated by this new approach.It is found that the reliability index of the slope would decrease by 52.54% and the failure probability would increase from 0.000 705% to 1.966%.In the end,the impact of variation coefficients ofc andfon reliability index of slopes was taken into discussion and the changing trend was observed.
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