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本文探讨了马克思关于跨越资本主义卡夫丁峡谷的历史必然性和历史选择性观点。马克思认为，俄国社会特殊的历史条件决定它可以不通过资本主义卡夫丁峡谷直接过渡到共产主义，这是历史的必然性。但是这种必然性并不意味着历史发展只有一条道路可供选择，由于事物发展的多向性和主体价值观的差异性，在历史走向上往往存在着诸种可能性。主体能动性是影响历史发展方向的一个重要因素。马克思这一观点对于我们研究历史、合理地解释当今世界纷繁复杂的社会历史现象具有重要的方法论启示。
This article explores Marx’s historical inevitability and historical selectivity of striding over the Cafudinian gorge of capitalism. Marx believes that the special historical conditions of Russian society determine that it can not make a direct transition to communism through the capitalist Caffing Canyon. This is a historic necessity. However, this necessity does not mean that there is only one road available for historical development. Due to the diversity of the development of things and the difference of the values of the subject, there are always possibilities in the course of history. The main motivation is an important factor affecting the direction of historical development. This view of Marx has an important methodological enlightenment for us to study history and reasonably explain the complex social and historical phenomena in the world today.