商事审判与中国经济发展相关性的实证分析——以商事纠纷案件的变化为对象

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本文通过对商事纠纷案件数量、涉案金额与中国经济发展相关性的实证分析,指出商事纠纷案件数量、涉案金额与GDP之间存在显著的正相关关系,表明了经济发展是商事纠纷案件变化的主要因素。同时,商事纠纷主要类型案件的数量变化与中国经济改革路径之间也存在密切的联系,其中,中国金融市场渐进式的改革模式使金融纠纷案件呈现出借款合同纠纷案件多,其他股票、证券类金融纠纷案件少的特点;而政府主导的国有企业改革则使国有企业破产案件呈现出政策性破产案件多,常规破产案件少的特点;最后,先交易改革后产权改革的增量改革模式则使商事纠纷案件呈现出债权纠纷多而产权纠纷少的特点。此外,政府、文化以及非正式制度等非经济因素也是商事纠纷案件变化的原因。 This article points out the number of commercial disputes, the amount involved and the GDP has a significant positive correlation between the number of cases of commercial disputes, the amount involved in the case and the economic development in China, indicating that economic development is the main change in commercial disputes factor. At the same time, the number of major types of commercial disputes and the number of changes in the path of China's economic reform are also closely linked, of which the gradual reform of China's financial market mode of financial disputes in the loan contract disputes appear more cases, other stocks, securities Financial disputes and the lack of features; and state-owned state-owned enterprise reform makes the state-owned bankruptcy cases showed a number of policy bankruptcies, the characteristics of conventional bankruptcy less; Finally, the reform of property rights reform after the transaction reform is so that Commercial disputes show a number of claims disputes and property disputes less features. In addition, non-economic factors such as government, culture and the informal system are also responsible for the changes in commercial disputes.
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