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俄罗斯经济转轨以来经历了长期的转型性经济危机,并于1999年出现经济复苏和恢复增长的势头,这一势头持续至今。这种经济形势的变化和俄罗斯转轨以来的政策博弈和公共选择过程密切相关。首先,公共选择博弈使俄罗斯的“休克疗法”转轨政策失败,进而把制度安排锁定在非效率的结构中,这是俄罗斯转型性经济危机程度深而且时间长的重要原因;其次,2000年以来俄罗斯社会趋于稳定,公共选择程序和机制在向有序化和建设性方向发展,经济形势也随之好转,并有望保持下去。
Since Russia’s economic transition experienced a long-term transitional economic crisis, its momentum of economic recovery and restoration of growth emerged in 1999 and the momentum continues to this day. This change in the economic situation is closely related to the policy game and public choice process since Russia’s transition. First of all, the public choice game made the failure of Russia’s “shock therapy” transition policy, and then the institutional arrangement locked in the inefficient structure, which is a deep and long period of Russia’s transitional economic crisis, an important reason; Second, since 2000, Russian society Tends to be stable, and the procedures and mechanisms of public choice are developing in an orderly and constructive direction. As a result, the economic situation also improves and is expected to continue.