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随着统一增长理论的兴起,经济发展阶段理论又重新受到学界的重视,相关研究在原有理论的基础上不断向纵深发展,取得了丰富的研究成果。主要表现在两个方面:第一,在经济发展阶段划分标准和内容上,根据国民经济生产部门、生产技术类型、人口增长模式、剩余劳动力转移程度、竞争优势的来源等五种标准划分了不同的经济发展阶段;第二,在阶段转换动力上,探讨了技术进步、人力资本积累、产业结构升级、国家干预、制度变迁等五种因素对发展阶段转换的推动作用。本文系统地梳理了经济发展阶段理论的研究成果,为我国顺利跨越“中等收入陷阱”提供了理论指引和政策借鉴。
With the rise of the theory of unified growth, the stage theory of economic development has again received the attention of the academic circles. The related researches, based on the original theories, continue to develop in depth and have achieved abundant research results. Mainly in two aspects: First, according to the standard and content of dividing stages of economic development, we divide the five criteria into five categories according to five criteria: the national economic production department, the type of production technology, the mode of population growth, the degree of surplus labor transfer and the source of competitive advantage Economic development stage; secondly, on the phase shift power, the promotion function of technological change, human capital accumulation, industrial structure upgrade, state intervention and institutional change are discussed. This paper systematically sorts out the research results of the stage theory of economic development and provides theoretical guidance and policy reference for our country to smoothly cross the “middle income trap”.