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本文旨在对工业化、人口城市化和空间城市化的关系进行经验分析,落脚点是空间城市化的扩张规律。文章分析了城市化的内涵及产业、人口和空间3个维度;介绍了钱纳里定律,并将空间维度纳入该分析框架,提出了一个新的假说:空间城市化起步于工业化初期,加快于工业化中期,且在工业化后期和后工业化时期仍将长期持续。韩国、美国和日本等OECD国家实证研究的结果支持了这一假说。因此,对于刚刚进入工业化后期的中国而言,城市空间扩张的压力将持续存在,建立高效的农地转用制度紧迫而必要。为此,一方面,我国需要从技术角度加强政府规划和监管;另一方面,加快改革现有行政垄断的农地转用制度体系,以市场化为导向探索建立土地征用与农民自主流转并存的新制度,逐步形成城市化和工业化良性互动、人口城市化与空间城市化协调发展的新格局。
The purpose of this paper is to empirically analyze the relationship between industrialization, population urbanization and spatial urbanization, and the final goal is the expansion of spatial urbanization. This paper analyzes the connotation of urbanization and three dimensions of industry, population and space. It introduces Chandari’s law and introduces the spatial dimension into the analysis framework. It puts forward a new hypothesis that spatial urbanization starts from the initial stage of industrialization and accelerates from The mid-industrialization period will continue for a long time in the post-industrialization and post-industrialization periods. The hypothesis is supported by the empirical results of OECD countries such as Korea, the United States and Japan. Therefore, for China, which just entered the industrialization period, the pressure of urban space expansion will persist and it is imperative and necessary to establish an efficient rural land conversion system. To this end, on the one hand, China needs to strengthen government planning and supervision from a technical point of view; on the other hand, it is necessary to speed up the reform of the existing administrative monopoly farmland conversion system and explore the establishment of coexistence of land acquisition and peasant autonomy through marketization New system and gradually formed a new pattern of benign interaction between urbanization and industrialization, coordinated development of population urbanization and space urbanization.