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为深入分析影响广东省生猪生产布局的各种因素,深入了解各地的资源禀赋差异,促进广东省生猪产业平稳、快速、健康发展,笔者基于广东省1990—2014年21个地市的面板数据,运用面板数据模型(Panel Data模型)分析了资源、经济、市场、技术、政策和环境等因素对生猪生产布局的影响。结果表明:人均收入、非农就业机会和政策因素对生猪生产布局指数有显著负向影响;交通通达性、技术进步、路径依赖和畜牧业发展水平对生猪生产布局指数有显著正向影响;而资源禀赋和消费市场潜力影响不显著。根据分析结果提出相应建议。
In order to deeply analyze the various factors affecting the pig production and distribution in Guangdong Province, to deeply understand the differences in resource endowments and promote the stable, rapid and healthy development of the pig industry in Guangdong Province, based on the panel data of 21 cities in Guangdong Province during 1990-2014, The panel data model was used to analyze the impact of resources, economy, market, technology, policy and environment on pig production and layout. The results showed that per capita income, non-agricultural employment opportunities and policy factors had a significant negative impact on the production layout index of pigs; traffic accessibility, technological progress, path dependence and the level of animal husbandry had a significant positive impact on the production layout index; Resource endowments and consumer market potential have no significant effect. According to the analysis results put forward corresponding suggestions.