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本文在考察中国资源价格变化的基础上,分析了资源价格变化对全要素生产率的影响。资源价格变化对生产率的影响在理论上是不确定的。文章利用中国省际面板数据,在检验数据平稳性和变量间协整关系之后,使用完全修正的最小二乘估计方法,实证检验了资源价格变化对全要素生产率的影响。结果显示,资源价格上涨显著地阻碍了中国生产率的提高。本文分析了上述实证结论产生的原因,并提出了相应的政策建议。
Based on the investigation of the change of resource prices in China, this paper analyzes the impact of resource price changes on total factor productivity. The impact of changes in resource prices on productivity is theoretically uncertain. Using the panel data of China’s provinces, after verifying the data’s stability and the co-integration relationship among the variables, this paper empirically tests the influence of resource price changes on total factor productivity by using the least squares method of complete revision. The results show that rising resource prices have significantly hindered the improvement of China’s productivity. This paper analyzes the causes of the above empirical conclusions, and puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.