以实时控制和诱导为目的的短时交通流预测作为研究分析对象,构造出刻画随机用户平衡演化过程的基于马尔科夫过程的动态,分析了它的稳定性,并给出一个算例进一步验证了其稳定性.将马尔科夫链引入到交通流演化动态中,通过简单的算例,对道路中的交通流进行分析和预测,进而对车辆进行诱导,从而达到交通管理的目的. Taking the short-term traffic flow forecasting for the purpose of real-time control and guidance as the object of research and analysis, a Markov-based process for describing the equilibrium evolution of random users is constructed and its stability is analyzed. An example is given to further verify The Markov chain is introduced into the dynamic evolution of traffic flow, the traffic flow in the road is analyzed and predicted through a simple example, and then the vehicle is induced to achieve the purpose of traffic management.