论文部分内容阅读
截止到2006年12月31日,世界原油剩余探明储量为1804.7亿吨,同比略增1.93%,天然气剩余探明储量为175万亿立方米,同比略增1.15%,储量寿命分别为50年和61年,世界石油产能将越来越向少数几个储量丰富的国家集中,需求仍将保持一定程度的增长。在地缘政治不出现大的动荡,如伊朗核危机不急剧恶化,恐怖活动趋于平缓等,以及气候因素在正常的情况下,油价将缓慢下行,但均衡点仍是高位,仍将维持在60美元/桶以上。此外,各国政府、各大石油公司替代能源的研究开发也相继展开,基于此,中海油长远发展战略的初步构想是:2030年以前,油气并举,前半段以油为主,逐渐向气倾斜;2030～2050年,天然气业务比重加大,形成完整的天然气产业链。2050～2080年,以气为主,进一步开发其它海洋能源;2080年以后,以海洋能为主,涉足外空能源;最终打造成真正具有国际竞争力的国际能源公司“百年老店”。
As of December 31, 2006, the world’s remaining proven crude oil reserves of 180.47 billion tons, a slight increase of 1.93%, natural gas remaining proven reserves of 175 trillion cubic meters, a slight increase of 1.15%, reserve life of 50 years And in 61 years, the world’s oil production will increasingly be concentrated in a few countries with abundant reserves, and the demand will still maintain a certain degree of growth. In the absence of major geopolitical turmoil, such as the Iranian nuclear crisis does not deteriorate sharply, terrorist activities tend to be flat, etc., and climate factors under normal circumstances, the oil price will slow down, but the equilibrium point is still high, will remain at 60 USD / barrel above. In addition, research and development of alternative energy sources by governments and major petroleum companies have also started one after another. Based on this, the preliminary vision of CNOOC’s long-term development strategy is that by the year 2030, with the combination of oil and gas, By 2050, the proportion of natural gas business will increase, forming a complete natural gas industrial chain. From 2050 to 2080, the main gas is to further develop other marine energy sources; after 2080, mainly marine energy will be involved in outer space energy; and eventually an international energy company with a truly international competitiveness will be built into the “century-old” .