中越经济一体化程度量化评价与深化合作路径分析——基于中越“J”型海陆经济一体化战略的思考

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提高中越两国经济一体化水平对中越“两廊一圈”战略和“21世纪海上丝绸之路”建设的有效衔接具有重要意义。本文运用加权平均法选取中越商品进出口额、外商投资、工程承包和旅游等指标建立经济一体化统计模型,测算中越两国1995至2015年间经济一体化程度。分析结果表明:中越经济一体化水平受中越双边政治、经济合作和国际政治经济等因素的共同影响,呈现波动上升的特点。根据指数所反映的特点及中越经济合作现状,提出在“21世纪海上丝绸之路”建设框架下建立以中越自由港链和中越跨境经济特区带相结合的中越“J”型海陆经济一体化战略,以加快经济一体化进程。 To improve the level of economic integration between China and Vietnam is of great significance to the effective convergence of the Sino-Vietnamese “two corridors and one ring” strategy and the “21st century maritime Silk Road”. This article uses the weighted average method to select the import and export of goods between China and Vietnam, foreign investment, project contracting and tourism and other indicators to establish economic integration statistical model to measure the degree of economic integration between China and Vietnam from 1995 to 2015. The analysis shows that: The level of economic integration between China and Vietnam is characterized by the ups and downs of the two countries, which are influenced by the bilateral political and economic cooperation and the international political economy. According to the characteristics reflected in the index and the status quo of economic cooperation between China and Vietnam, this paper proposes to establish Sino-Vietnam “J” -type sea and land with the combination of the Sino-Vietnam free port chain and the Sino-Vietnamese cross-border special economic zones within the framework of the “21st Century Maritime Silk Road” Economic integration strategy to speed up economic integration.
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