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新型城镇化在“十二五”中上升为国家战略,明确要求以城市群为单位推进城镇化,最终实现“两横三纵”的城市群架构,通过连笔纵横,实现全国城镇化。与此同时,我国城镇化进程存在诸多失衡与失调,如人口转移与土地扩张不匹配、产业发展与劳动力迁移不同步、大城市与中小城镇发展失衡等。对上述不协调现象的探索,学者们多从空间、人口、产业城镇化进程的内部找原因。本文提供另外一个思路,由于区域的城镇化进程与经济增长、金融发展在要素层面有千丝万缕的勾稽,城镇化的健康发展离不开与经济增长、金融发展之间的良性互动。所以,探讨三者的协调性有积极意义。据此,本文以中国21个城市群为研究样本,选取相关指标,建立经济增长、金融发展、城镇化三个子系统,并考察三者协调情况。在此基础上,使用空间计量中的莫兰指数研究判定上述协调性为空间负相关。该研究结论表明,以城市群为主体推进全国范围内城镇化,在现阶段会出现各个城市群内经济增长、金融发展、城镇化的协调度在群与群之间呈现反向影响,某一城市群的三系统协调性,会受到周边城市群协调性的反向扰动。文末对该结论给出了现实解释。
The new urbanization has been upgraded to a national strategy in the “Twelfth Five-year Plan”, and it is explicitly required to promote urbanization by uniting urban agglomerations and eventually realizing the “two horizontal and three vertical” urban agglomerations. Urbanization. At the same time, there are many imbalances and imbalances in the process of urbanization in our country, such as mismatch between population transfer and land expansion, unsynchronized industrial development and labor migration, unbalanced development between big cities and small towns. To explore the above uncoordinated phenomenon, scholars mostly look for reasons from the internal process of space, population and industrial urbanization. This article provides another train of thought. Due to the process of urbanization and economic growth in the region, the development of finance at the factor level is inextricably lashed out. The healthy development of urbanization can not be separated from the positive interaction with economic growth and financial development. Therefore, to explore the coordination of the three have positive significance. Based on this, this paper takes 21 cities in China as the research sample, selects relevant indicators, and establishes three subsystems of economic growth, financial development and urbanization, and examines the coordination of the three. On this basis, using the Moran index in spatial measurement to determine the above-mentioned coordination is the spatial negative correlation. The conclusion of this study shows that the urban agglomeration as the main body to promote urbanization throughout the country at this stage there will be economic growth within each urban agglomeration, financial development, urbanization coordination between groups and groups show a reverse impact, a The coordination of the three systems in urban agglomerations will be adversely disturbed by the coordination of surrounding urban agglomerations. At the end of this article gives a realistic explanation of the conclusion.