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据ICIS数据称,截至2013年年底,甲醇贸易价格达到近5年来高点490~600美元/吨(CFR,亚洲),业内人士预测,2014年亚洲甲醇价格还将维持上涨趋势。上涨主要是受两方面的影响:一是受中国和印度市场继续扩张推动预计2014年亚洲甲醇需求还将增加400万~500万吨;二是运输成本不断上涨。据预计,甲醛、醋酸、1,4-丁二醇、甲基丙烯酸甲酯(MMA)、甲胺和氯甲烷等甲醇传统消费需求将与全球GDP保持同步增长。而且,甲醇在其新型非传统应用领域,包括甲醇制烯烃(MTO)、燃料电池、二甲醚(DME)、甲醇制汽油以及甲醇调和汽油方面的需求,预计将以更快速度继续增长。
According to ICIS data, as of the end of 2013, methanol trade prices reached a high of 490 ~ 600 US dollars / ton (CFR, Asia) in the recent 5 years. According to insiders, the methanol price in Asia will maintain the upward trend in 2014. The rise is mainly affected by two aspects: First, due to the continued expansion of the markets in China and India, it is estimated that the demand for methanol in Asia will increase by 4 million to 5 million tons in 2014; secondly, the transportation cost will continue to rise. The traditional consumer demand for methanol, such as formaldehyde, acetic acid, 1,4-butanediol, methyl methacrylate (MMA), methylamine and methyl chloride, is expected to keep pace with global GDP growth. Moreover, the demand for methanol in its new non-traditional applications, including MTO, fuel cells, dimethyl ether (DME), methanol-to-gasoline and methanol-blended gasoline, is expected to continue to grow at a much faster rate.