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在二次世界能源危机后,由于西欧各国缩减能源消费的绝对量,引起1981年开始的世界市场石油价格下跌。据予测,到1987年以前,石油的实际价格将下跌到最低程度,大致为1981年石油价格最高值的85％。1987年以后,石油价格将恢复上涨的趋势。予计到2000年,石油价格将比1982年高出10％左右。 1.石油供需予测 西欧石油开采量的增长在很大程度上同开发北海新油田有关。到1988年,石油开采量可达到最高峰,即1.55亿吨。随后将逐年下降,予计到1990年和2000年,将相应降到1.52亿吨
After the energy crisis of the second world, the reduction of oil prices in the world market started in 1981 as Western countries reduced the absolute amount of energy consumption. According to forecast, by 1987, the actual price of oil will fall to a minimum, roughly 85% of the highest value of oil prices in 1981. After 1987, oil prices will resume rising trend. In 2000, the oil price will be about 10% higher than in 1982. 1. Oil supply and demand forecast The growth of oil production in Western Europe is largely related to the development of a new oil field in Beihai. By 1988, the maximum oil production could reach 155 million tons. It will then decrease year by year, and it will be reduced to 152 million tons in 1990 and 2000.