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通过考察国际大都市公共交通结构的主要特征,总结出大城市合理客运交通结构的发展趋势。基于对10个国际大城市的相关指标回归分析,探讨了大城市合理公交出行结构预测模型;最后,以杭州为例,应用预测模型,在分析杭州客运交通结构与国际知名大都市客运交通结构的差异以及产生差距原因的基础上,确定了杭州市在地铁建成后的合理客运交通结构。
By examining the main characteristics of the international metropolitan public transport structure, the paper summarizes the development trend of the rational passenger transport structure in large cities. Based on the regression analysis of relevant indexes in 10 international metropolises, this paper explores the prediction model of rational bus travel in big cities. Finally, taking Hangzhou as an example, this paper applies the forecasting model to analyze the relationship between Hangzhou passenger transport structure and the international metropolitan passenger transport structure Differences and causes of the gap, based on the determination of Hangzhou in the subway after the completion of a reasonable passenger transport structure.