欧元区部分成员国主权债危机的前景以及欧元作为一个统一货币体的前途现在是影响2012年世界经济和国际金融走势中的最大变数。在刚刚过去的2011年中,围绕欧元区成员国主权债务问题,以希腊为主的各个角色在国际大舞台上演出了充满意外和惊奇的多幕戏剧。扑朔迷离的戏剧尚未落幕之时,观众对其发展前景的展望也大相径庭。而一个重要事实往往被人忽视,这就是欧元区作为一个整体,在与主权债相关的数个基本 The prospects for the sovereign debt crisis in some member states of the euro zone and the future of the euro as a unified currency are now the biggest variables affecting the world economy and international finance in 2012. In the past just over 2011, various Greek-based players, acting on the sovereign debt problems of the member states of the Euro-zone, staged a surprising and surprisingly multi-screen drama on the international stage. At a time when the whirling drama is not yet over, the audience’s outlook for its development is vastly different. And an important fact is often overlooked, which is the euro zone as a whole, in relation to the sovereign debt of several basic