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随着我国对外贸易规模的持续扩大,能源消费总量不断增加。因此,研究出口贸易特别是出口贸易结构与能源消费之间的关系具有重要的意义。通过实证分析,我们可以得出如下结论:我国初级产品的出口在短期和长期都对能源消费起到促进作用;而工业制成产品的出口只有在长期对能源消费起到促进作用,工业制成产品出口在长期对能源消费的促进作用小于初级产品出口。Granger检验结果表明了,我国初级产品出口是能源消费增长的原因,我国工业制成品出口是能源消费增长的原因,能源消费是我国初级产品出口增长的原因。
As the scale of China’s foreign trade continues to expand, the total amount of energy consumption continues to increase. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the relationship between export trade, especially the structure of export trade and energy consumption. Through empirical analysis, we can draw the following conclusion: the export of primary products in our country can promote energy consumption in the short and long term; and the export of industrial products can only promote the energy consumption in the long term. The industrial production The role of export of products in promoting energy consumption in the long term is less than the export of primary products. Granger test results show that China’s export of primary products is the reason for the increase of energy consumption. The export of manufactured products in China is the reason for the increase of energy consumption. Energy consumption is the reason for the increase of export of primary products in our country.