全球粮食市场正在发生转折性变化。2013/2014年度全球主要谷物和油籽油脂产量创历史纪录,2014/2015年度将保持高位,或再创纪录。2014年5月以来,全球粮油价格大幅度下跌,现在大约降到了全球粮食危机爆发前粮食价格开始大幅度上涨时的水平。种种迹象表明,有效需求不足又一次成为国际粮食贸易中的主要矛盾。我国国内粮食生产在实现十连增的基础上,今年又将获得大丰收。2013年度国内外粮油均创纪录增产的“双碰头”在2014年度 Global food markets are turning point. The world’s major cereal and oilseed oil production hit a record high in 2013/2014 and will remain high in 2014/2015 or a record. Since May 2014, global cereal oil prices have plunged sharply, now falling to about the same level as the sharp rise in food prices before the onset of the global food crisis. There are indications that insufficient effective demand has once again become the major contradiction in international food trade. On the basis of achieving 10 consecutive increases in the domestic grain production in our country, another great bumper harvest will be obtained this year. In 2013, domestic and foreign grain and oil both recorded record double-digit increases