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文章使用2012年西部民族地区7个省份、757个行政村的调查数据,评估了自然灾害冲击对农民创业行为的影响。研究结果显示,自然灾害冲击显著提高了农民创业行为的发生概率,平均而言,自然灾害冲击将促使农民创业概率提高1.53%。进一步研究发现,随着关系嵌入性程度的增加,教育水平的提高、村庄交通的改善和农民幸福感的提升,自然灾害冲击对农民创业行为的积极影响会逐渐强化。上述结论意味着自然灾害的冲击对农村经济发展的作用并不完全是消极的。文章丰富和拓展了自然灾害冲击与农民创业的相关研究,对于推动农民创业,实现全面建成小康社会的目标具有重要的理论和实践意义。
Based on the survey data of 757 administrative villages in 7 provinces and western regions in 2012, the article assesses the impact of natural disasters on farmer’s entrepreneurial behavior. The results show that the impact of natural disasters significantly increases the probability of peasant entrepreneurship behavior. On average, the impact of natural disasters will increase the probability of peasant entrepreneurship by 1.53%. Further research found that the positive impact of natural disasters on peasant entrepreneurship will be gradually strengthened with the increase of the degree of embeddedness, the improvement of education, the improvement of village traffic and the improvement of peasant happiness. The above conclusion means that the impact of natural disasters on rural economic development is not entirely negative. The article enriches and expands the research on the impact of natural disasters and peasant entrepreneurship, which has important theoretical and practical significance for promoting peasant entrepreneurship and realizing the goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way.