论文部分内容阅读
一、2013年:经济增长在7%~8%区间的调整稳定之年2012年二季度以来,我国经济增长始终在7%~8%区间波动(见图1)。其中,2013年前2个季度连续小幅回落,三季度回升,四季度预计又有小幅回落。(一)三大市场需求增长趋稳决定经济增长走势的短期因素是市场需求。2013年经济增长的区间,首先是由市场需求水平所决定的。1.出口增长低位走稳。前3个季度,外贸出口同比增长8%,较上年同期水平(7.4%)略有提高。从前3个季度增长率的变化轨迹看,波动幅度较大,且总体呈下降态势。出
I. 2013: Adjustment of Economic Growth in the Stable Period of 7% ~ 8% Since the second quarter of 2012, China’s economic growth has fluctuated from 7% to 8% (Figure 1). Among them, the first two quarters of 2013 dropped slightly in succession, picking up in the third quarter and a slight drop in the fourth quarter. (A) the three major market demand growth stabilized The short-term factor that determines the trend of economic growth is the market demand. The range of economic growth in 2013 is first determined by the level of market demand. 1. Export growth to stabilize low. In the first three quarters, the export of foreign trade increased by 8% over the same period of previous year, slightly up from the level of the same period of last year (7.4%). In the past three quarters, the change of the growth rate shows that the fluctuation range is larger and the overall downward trend. Out