中国人民大学副校长刘元春近日撰文指出,从中长期的角度来看,如果经济出现新的增长方式、新的增长动力和新的增长结构,并且形成了与之相适应的政治、社会基础等一套体系,就意味着要进入新阶段。判断周期是否真正出现,一是根据市场投资主体是否愿意为下一轮的繁荣进行全面投资。二是技术是否出现革命的变化。虽然目前一系列经济指标好像有所稳定,但是真正的新周期还没有完 Liu Yuanchun, vice chancellor of Renmin University of China, recently wrote that in the medium and long term, if the economy shows a new mode of growth, a new growth momentum and a new growth structure, and a corresponding political and social foundation is formed Set system, it means to enter a new phase. Judging whether the cycle really occurs or not, one is whether investors in the market are willing to invest in the next round of prosperity based on their willingness to invest. Second, whether there is a revolutionary change in technology. Although a series of economic indicators seem to have stabilized at present, the real new cycle has not yet finished