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论述了灰色预测模型在公路货运量预测中的应用技术、方法与程序。该方法利用了累加生成手段和微分方程描述的灰色模型,与目前常规货运量预测理论和模型相比,可有效地处理小样本、贫信息的不确定系统,并在一定预测时段内具有良好的预测精度和实用性。
The application technology, method and program of gray forecasting model in highway freight volume forecast are discussed. Compared with the current theory and model of conventional cargo volume, this method can effectively deal with the uncertain system of small samples and poor information and has a good performance in a certain forecasting period Prediction accuracy and practicality.