2004年,亚洲各国和地区收到的新年礼物,是各大国际经济组织、投资银行、咨询机构以及消费者的乐观预测,他们普遍认为,在新的一年中,亚洲仍然是最充满活力的经济体和最佳投资选择地。国际货币基金组织早在去年9月就预测,除日本之外,亚洲区2004年的经济增长将达到6.5％。各大投资银行的报告也充满乐观,摩根大通的分析报告指出,亚洲地区(不包括日本) New Year’s gifts received in various countries and regions in Asia in 2004 were optimistic forecasts by major international economic organizations, investment banks, consulting agencies and consumers. They generally agree that in the new year, Asia remains the most dynamic Economies and best investment options. As early as September last year, the International Monetary Fund predicted that the economic growth of Asia in 2004 will reach 6.5% except for Japan. The report of major investment banks is also full of optimism. JP Morgan’s analysis pointed out that in Asia (excluding Japan)