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本文主要运用可计算一般均衡模型,对亚太地区经济一体化中RECP、TPP和亚太自由贸易区的经济效果进行比较,并对亚太自由贸易区深化商品贸易和服务贸易自由化所带来的经济效果进行评估。结果表明,对于中美两国以及亚太地区的广大国家而言,亚太自由贸易区在商品贸易自由化方面带来的福利和经济增长效果大于RCEP和TPP的影响。对同时参与RCEP和TPP的东亚国家而言,RCEP的商品贸易自由化可以带来更大的利益。尽管APEC成员可以在亚太自由贸易区逐步深化商品贸易和服务贸易自由化以及实施各种国际贸易和国际投资新议题时获得额外的收益,但这种收益的分配在不同国家间存在差异,以美国为代表的发达国家所获得的额外收益明显高于以中国为代表的发展中国家。
This paper mainly uses the computable general equilibrium model to compare the economic effects of RECP, TPP and APFTA in the economic integration of the Asia Pacific region and analyzes the economic effects of deepening the liberalization of trade in goods and services in the Asia-Pacific free trade area to evaluate. The results show that for the vast number of countries in China and the United States and in the Asia Pacific region, the benefits and economic growth brought by APFTA in terms of the liberalization of trade in goods are greater than those of RCEP and TPP. For East Asian countries that participate in both RCEP and TPP, RCEP liberalization of trade in goods can bring greater benefits. Although members of APEC can obtain additional benefits from the gradual deepening of trade liberalization in trade and trade in services and the implementation of various new topics of international trade and international investment in APFF, the distribution of such benefits varies from country to country. In the United States As the representative of the developed countries received significantly higher than the additional revenue represented by China as a developing country.