【摘 要】
:
Intermittent demand refers to the specific demand pattern with frequent periods of zero demand. It occurs in a variety of industries including industrial equipment, automotive and specialty chemicals. In some industries or some sectors of industry, even m
【机 构】
:
Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering,Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University,Suzhou,China
论文部分内容阅读
Intermittent demand refers to the specific demand pattern with frequent periods of zero demand. It occurs in a variety of industries including industrial equipment, automotive and specialty chemicals. In some industries or some sectors of industry, even majority of products are in intermittent demand pattern. Due to the usually small and highly variable demand sizes, accurate forecasting of intermittent demand has always been challenging. However, accurate forecasting of intermittent demand is critical to the effective inventory management. In this study we present a band new method-modified TSB method for the forecasting of intermittent demand. The proposed method is based on TSB method, and adopts similar strategy, which has been used in mSBA method to update demand interval and demand occurrence probability when current demand is zero. To evaluate the pro- posed method, 16289 daily demand records from the M5 data set that are identified as intermittent demands according to two criteria, and an empirical data set consisting three years\' monthly demand history of 1718 medicine products are used. The proposed mTSB method achieves the best results on MASE and RMASE among all comparison methods on the M5 data set. On the empirical data set, the study shows that mTSB attains an ME of 0.07, which is the best among six comparison methods. Additionally, on the MSE mea- surement, mTSB shows a similar result as SES, both of which outperform other methods.
其他文献
私募股权投资基金的发展,对于促进创新行业发展、推动技术进步以及化解风险均有重要意义.有限合伙制是私募股权投资基金的重要组织形式.本文分析了当前有限合伙制私募股权投资基金纳税方面存在的问题,并提出应从加大税收优惠力度、区分GP和LP的收益性质、优化投资损失弥补制度、完善税收征管和信息共享制度、鼓励纳税人自愿披露等方面进行优化.
We consider a joint inventory-pricing control problem in a single-product, periodic-re-view, dual-supplier inventory system. The two suppliers have different lead times. One expedited supplier offers instantaneous replenishment, and one regular supplier r
2020年的新冠疫情对航空业造成了重大打击,暴露了航司资产流动性低和现金储备不足的问题.本文从航空公司行业特性出发,设计了长期资本保障率、供应链占款保障率和短期金融性负债保障率来衡量长期财务风险,经营活动现金流出保障倍数和员工开支保障倍数来衡量短期财务风险,通过分析中国国航、南方航空、东方航空和海航控股相关指标的历年走势,揭示当前我国航司存在的财务风险,分析其原因并提出了相应的风险应对措施.从监管层面,局方应对航空公司财务状况进行持续监控,以确保航空公司具有持续经营能力;从航司自身来看,应增加长期资金来源
Intelligent transformation of manufacturers requires smart logistics transformation collaboration, which improves competitiveness. In this study, we construct a Stackelberg game model based on the mutual influence and restriction in the relationship betwe
本文首先汇总分析了2020年中资上市航空租赁公司的盈利表现;然后基于实际财务数据指出疫情对航空租赁公司的主要影响具体表现在“资产减值损失”及“信用减值损失”这两个方面,并基于杜邦分析法对航空租赁公司盈利能力的主要构成要素进行了拆解,指出是否具备对飞机资产全生命周期的管理及处置能力将成为后疫情时代区分不同航空租赁公司经营状况的主要分水岭;最后笔者结合对民航及航空租赁市场趋势的观察及实践,针对后疫情时代中资航空租赁公司的未来发展提出了对策建议,包括优化存量资产结构、提高针对飞机资产全生命周期的管理能力及积极融
This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using the HAR framework. In-sample results indicate that oil futures intraday information is helpful to increase the predictability. Moreover,
2021年1月29日下午,海航集团被债权人申请破产重整,引起业内极大恐慌,通过梳理GE成长脉络,本文认为航空公司扩张始于财务,又终于财务.一次次的教训证明,航空公司应加强科学财务管理,发挥财务对航空公司的支撑作用,同时也要发挥财务对航空公司的监督、制约、修正作用.以史为镜,航空公司的发展要遵循财务规律,要树立正确的财务目标,坚持可持续发展理论,方可实现健康发展.
文章选取四家独角兽企业为样本,以企业层面的企业家精神为对象,将其分为创新精神、冒险精神、开拓精神和社会责任四个要素,利用因子分析法,生成企业家精神指数,探讨其与企业成长间的关系.企业家精神对企业成长存在正向影响,与净资产增长存在正变关系.冒险精神有助于总资产的增长;开拓精神和创新精神有利于净资产的增长;社会责任有利于总资产的增长和净资产的增长.因此构建能够维护企业家合法权益的环境,统筹考虑企业家精神各个维度对企业的影响,兼顾内外部环境引导不同行业的企业家精神健康成长,是提升企业家精神,促进独角兽企业茁壮成
This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns. By introducing a defaultable bond-trading model, we show that the decline in market risk tolerance and information accuracy leads to trading loss under downside conditions. Ou
Healthcare waste (HCW) management plays a vital role in the development of modern society. In HCW management, failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is a popular method to implement risk management for improving the quality of healthcare. However, the s