一、剖析史实应注意偶然之中存在的必然在事物的联系和发展进程中,必然性和偶然性是同时存在的。必然性通过偶然性为自己开辟道路,必然性通过大量偶然性表现出来。人类历史发展是丰富多彩、曲折复杂的,是不以人的意志为转移的,是必然的。在研究历史运 I. Anatomy of historical facts should pay attention to the inevitable existence of contingency. In the process of the connection and development of things, inevitability and contingency exist at the same time. Inevitability opens up the way for themselves by chance, and inevitability is manifested by a great deal of chance. The development of human history is rich, varied, and complicated, and it is inevitable that it is not based on human will. In research history