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本文对通辽地区工农业需水量进行了现状分析与预测。分别分析预测了 :通辽市城区需水量 ;通辽地区非灌溉用水量 ;通辽地区农区灌溉用水量以及总需水量。并且对分区各行业需水量进行了月分配、区分配和单元分配。城市需水量、农区非灌溉需水量预测中考虑了社会经济指标与其用水定额的动态趋势性。并通过社会经济预测指标及用水定额的趋势模拟预测结果进行了预测。农区灌溉用水量考虑了降雨量、月连续干旱天数以及上一年秋季灌溉用水量的大小以及动态发展特性。
This article analyzes the current situation and the forecast of the agricultural and industrial water demand in Tongliao area. Analyzed and predicted separately: urban water demand in Tongliao City; non-irrigated water in Tongliao; irrigated water in rural areas in Tongliao and total water demand. And the division of the industry needs monthly distribution of water, district and unit allocation. Urban water demand and non-irrigated water demand in rural areas take into account the dynamic trend of socio-economic indicators and water quotas. The forecast was made based on the socioeconomic forecasting indicators and the tendency of the water quota. Irrigation water consumption in rural areas takes into account the amount of rainfall, the number of consecutive months of drought and the amount of irrigation water used in the autumn of last year as well as the dynamic development characteristics.