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基于云南省125个县域单元1992、2002、2012年GDP、人口、财政支出等数据,采用探索性空间数据分析和空间计量经济学方法,分析了改革开放以来云南县域经济竞争状况和发展环境。结果表明:云南县域经济总体上呈现正向的空间相关性,滇中和滇西地区的为高值聚集区,滇西北、滇西南、滇东北县域竞争力初期较弱但持续加强;政府的财政投入和招商引资对GDP的增长有显著的影响,近年来地方政府从相互竞争过度到合力打造城市圈;人均指标增长对于政府投入反映滞后,更多依赖于市场化进程;推进优势的现代工农业发展,加强国内外区域合作,深化行政体制改革是云南经济社会发展的良好规划与前行方向。
Based on the data of GDP, population and financial expenditure of 125 counties in 1992, 2002 and 2012 in Yunnan Province, exploratory spatial data analysis and econometric methods were used to analyze the economic competition and development environment of counties in Yunnan since the reform and opening up. The results showed that the county economy in Yunnan showed a positive spatial correlation as a whole. Yunnan and Yunnan in the west were high concentration areas. The competitiveness of the counties in northwestern Yunnan, southwestern Yunnan and northeast Yunnan was weaker but strengthened continuously. The government’s fiscal Investment and investment have a significant impact on the growth of GDP. In recent years, local governments have been over-competing with each other to build an urban area. Per capita index growth has lagged behind the government input and relies more on the marketization process. The modern industry and agriculture Development, strengthening regional cooperation at home and abroad, and deepening the reform of the administrative system are good plans and directions for Yunnan’s economic and social development.