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随着个位数低速经济增长现象的出现,国内外掀起了新一轮全面唱衰深圳的思潮。然而,笔者运用趋势分析的研究方法,得出的结论是未来深圳的发展潜力并未衰竭。依据主要是:(1)深圳长期增长的空间并没有被完全封闭,继续前行的步伐不会因欧美金融危机而停滞;(2)深圳楼市泡沫破灭的先决条件尚未生成,推动深圳房市蓬勃发展的原有因素非但没有消失,甚至还在不断强化;(3)近看深圳股市投资价值罕见,远观深圳股市前程无量;(4)困扰深圳银行业发展的诸多不利因素正在淡化,而助推银行业发展壮大的有利元素则在不断形成。
With the advent of single-digit low-speed economic growth, a new round of thought has been set off in Shenzhen, a new round of comprehensive bad singing. However, the author uses the research method of trend analysis and concludes that the development potential of Shenzhen will not fail in the future. The main reasons for this are as follows: (1) The space for long-term growth in Shenzhen has not been completely closed, and the pace of continued growth will not be stagnated due to the financial crisis in Europe and the United States. (2) The precondition for the burst of the property bubble in Shenzhen has not yet been generated and the real estate market in Shenzhen is booming (3) We can see the investment value of Shenzhen Stock Market is rare and the future of Shenzhen stock market is immeasurable. (4) Many unfavorable factors that have plagued the development of Shenzhen’s banking industry are being diluted, and are boosting The favorable elements for the growth and development of the banking industry are constantly forming.