Monthly Extended Predicting Experiments with Nonlinear Regional Prediction. Part Ⅱ: Improvement of W

来源 :气象学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:heyzol
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Based on Chen et al. (2006), the scheme of the combination of the pentad-mean zonal height departure nonlinear prediction with the T42L9 model prediction was designed, in which the pentad zonal heights at all the 12-initial-value-input isobar levels from 50 hPa to 1000 hPa except 200, 300, 500, and 700 hPa were derived from nonlinear forecasts of the four levels by means of a good correlation between neighboring levels.Then the above pentad zonal heights at 12 isobar-levels were transformed to the spectrum coefficients of the temperature at each integration step of T42L9 model. At last, the nudging was made. On account of a variety of error accumulation, the pentad zonal components of the monthly height at isobar levels output by T42L9 model were replaced by the corresponding nonlinear results once more when integration was over.Multiple case experiments showed that such combination of two kinds of prediction made an improvement in the wave component as a result of wave-flow nonlinear interaction while reducing the systematical forecast errors. Namely the monthly-mean height anomaly correlation coefficients over the high- and mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, over the Southern Hemisphere and over the globe increased respectively from 0.249 to 0.347, from 0.286 to 0.387, and from 0.343 to 0.414 (relative changes of 31.5%, 41.0%, and 18.3%).The monthly-mean root-mean-square error (RMSE) of T42L9 model over the three areas was considerably decreased, the relative change over the globe reached 44.2%. The monthly-mean anomaly correlation coefficients of wave 4-9 over the areas were up to 0.392, 0.200, and 0.295, with the relative change of 53.8%, 94.1%,and 61.2%, and correspondingly their RMSEs were decreased respectively with the rate of 8.5%, 6.3%, and 8.1%. At the same time the monthly-mean pattern of parts of cases were presented better.
其他文献
In order to provide a guidance to specify the element size dynamically during adaptive finite element mesh generation, adaptive criteria are firstly defined acc
This article investigates the influence of the property of VGO derived trom the Kazakhstan-Russian mixed crude on the hydrocracking catalyst. The influence of r
Anion starch nanoparticles (StNP) were prepared in water-in-oil microemulsion. Folate modified with PEG was conjugated to the surface of StNP to obtain the fola
The positron-emitter fluorine-18 labeled amino acid O-(2-[18F]fluoroethyl)-L-tyrosine ([18F]FET) has shown very promising perspectives for brain tumor diagnosis
In this paper cotton hollow yarns were obtained from the core spun yarns which were produced on a little modified conventional experiment ring frame with water
用Faddeev-Jackiw(FJ)方法对与规范场偶合的规范自对偶场进行了研究,获得了一个新的辛Lagrangian密度,导出了此系统的FJ广义括号,并对其进行了FJ量子化.进而把FJ方法和Dirac
To evaluate the potentiality of applying gene therapy to endotoxemia in high-risk patients, we investigated the effects of transferring an adeno-associated viru
Two new coordination polymers, [M(phen) (e, a-cis-1, 4-chdc) (H2O) ] n (M=Mn(1);M=Cu(2);chdc=cyclohexanedicarboxylic acid;phen=1, 10-phenanthroline), were prepa