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本文仅就中央关于扩大内需政策的背景、扩大内需举措的内容、实行扩大内需对经济增长的推动三个问题做初步的分析研究,并谈一些个人的看法,以就教于专家和广大读者。一、扩大内需背景的分析1997-1998年,国内经济的特点是较高的经济增长、较低的通货膨胀和较高的失业率。经济增长是在90年代高速增长的年平均值的下限运行的。1998年底稳定在7.8%左右。1997年下半年,物价指数的上涨就出现了负增长的迹象,到1998年上半年,全社会商品物价指数上涨率徘徊于-2.1%。由于通货紧缩和有效需求不足,国内大量生产能力闲置和过剩。1997年下半年,全国企业下岗人数约为1151万人,突发性的较高失业率,成为我国五十年来突出的社会经济问题。1998年底,国内经济形势的特征表现为内需不旺,并且启动难度较大。内需不旺主要表现在:1、以纺织工业品为主体的传统加工工业
This article only on the central government on the background of expanding domestic demand policy, the content of expanding domestic demand initiatives, the implementation of the expansion of domestic demand to promote economic growth three issues to do a preliminary analysis and research, and talk about some personal views in order to teach the experts and readers. I. Analysis of expanding the background of domestic demand In 1997-1998, the domestic economy was characterized by higher economic growth, lower inflation and higher unemployment. Economic growth is operating at the lower end of the annual average of rapid growth in the 1990s. By the end of 1998 stabilized at about 7.8%. In the second half of 1997, the rise of the price index showed signs of negative growth. By the first half of 1998, the rate of rise of the entire social commodity price index was hovering at -2.1%. Due to lack of deflation and effective demand, a large amount of domestic production capacity is idle and surplus. In the second half of 1997, the number of laid-off workers in the country was about 11.51 million. The unexpected high unemployment rate has become a prominent social and economic issue in our country over the past 50 years. By the end of 1998, the domestic economic situation was characterized by a weak domestic demand and a difficult start. Domestic demand is not mainly manifested in: 1, to the textile industry as the mainstay of traditional processing industries