一、2004年及2005年全球天然橡胶供需状况分析1.2004年为天然橡胶供求平衡过渡年2004年是全球天然橡胶大幅增长的丰收年,产量增长幅度远远超出预期。据国际橡胶研究组织IRSG去年的一份报告预测,橡胶在过去两年中的持续高价刺激下,2004年天然橡胶产出预计将增长9%,2005年增长幅 First, 2004 and 2005, the global natural rubber supply and demand analysis 1. 2004 balance of supply and demand of natural rubber, the transition year 2004 is a substantial harvest of the world’s natural rubber harvest years, the production growth rate far exceeded expectations. According to a report last year by the International Rubber Research Organization IRSG, the output of natural rubber in 2004 is expected to increase by 9% in 2004 due to continued high prices of rubber. In 2005, the growth rate