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2009年的世界经济总体呈现前降后升的态势。“绿色经济”开始成为推动经济增长的新驱动力量,美国“新经济模式”的萌芽值得关注。增长背后的失业率上升仍是世界各国面临的棘手问题,但“无就业增长”的内在逻辑和潜在机遇却已逐步显化。我国经济率先进入了复苏轨道,积极财政政策也已取得明显成效。本文以全球金融危机形势发展分析为基础,提出了以供给管理为主体,融选择性支持、自动稳定安排和相机抉择于一体的“战略性财政政策”组织建议和运行模拟方案,进而形成了以“绿色经济”为基础的发展思路和政策安排。
In 2009, the world economy as a whole showed a downward spiral. “Green Economy ” has become the new driving force for promoting economic growth. The emergence of the United States “new economic model ” deserves our attention. The rising jobless rate behind the growth is still a thorny issue for all countries in the world. However, the inherent logic and potential opportunities for “non-employment growth” have gradually evolved. Our economy took the lead in recovery and the positive fiscal policy has also achieved remarkable results. Based on the analysis of the situation of the global financial crisis, this paper puts forward the proposal of “strategic fiscal policy” and the simulation plan of operation which take the supply management as the main body, the financial selective support, the automatic stable arrangement and the camera choice as one, To “green economy” as the basis for the development of ideas and policy arrangements.