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从中期趋势来看,债券市场收益率有可能呈现“下降-回升-再下降”的震荡下行特征2007年以来,世界经济经历了次贷危机(2007)、金融危机(2008-2009)、实体经济危机(2009-2011)和主权债务危机(2009-2011)。在经济全球化背景下,影响债券市场的两大基本因素——实体经济和资金面——通过贸易和金融关联度同外围经济体发生着千丝万缕的关系。以标普下调
From the medium-term trend, the bond market is likely to exhibit a “downward spiral - a further downward trend.” Since 2007, the world economy has experienced the subprime mortgage crisis (2007), the financial crisis (2008-2009) Real economy crisis (2009-2011) and sovereign debt crisis (2009-2011). Under the background of economic globalization, the two basic factors that affect the bond market - the real economy and the capital side - are inextricably linked with the peripheral economies through trade and financial connections. S & P cut