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1948年的美国总统换届选举在“杜鲁门总统注定连任失败,共和党必胜”的氛围下拉开了帷幕。众多新闻媒体、政治家、政治评论家之所以会如此认为,是因为共和党在本次选举中优势非常明显:从1933年开始,民主党已经连续执政长达13年,美国民众普遍认为该换由共和党执政了;在任总统杜鲁门个人魅力缺乏,性格过于倔强,难以赢得民主党同僚以及选民的认可,而民主党也无法推出其他有强大竞争力的总统候选人;共和党上下一心,同仇敌忾,竞选经费充
The presidential election in 1948 was held in the atmosphere of “President Truman is doomed to re-election defeat, Republican victory.” The reason why many news media, politicians and political commentators think so because the Republicans have obvious advantages in this election: Since 1933, the Democratic Party has been in power for 13 consecutive years, and the American people generally think it should be replaced by the Republican Party Governing; in his term of office Truman lack of personal charisma, character is too stubborn, it is difficult to win the recognition of the Democratic colleagues and voters, and the Democratic Party can not launch other highly competitive presidential candidates; Republican up and down one after another, with the enemy, the campaign funding