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首先,我们利用现代非线性物理理论及震源理论建立了适合地震活动的逾渗模型。然后,我们利用这一模型,对辽宁地区1970 年以来的地震活动进行了研究。通过对地震活动的逾渗相变过程中逾渗阈值附近的各种临界指数的计算,对破裂概率达到或超过逾渗阈值的子区域进行了讨论并对近期辽宁地区的地震活动趋势进行了探讨。
First of all, we use the modern nonlinear physics theory and source theory to establish a percolation model suitable for seismic activity. Then we use this model to study the seismic activity in Liaoning Province since 1970. Through the calculation of various critical exponents near the percolation threshold in the process of percolation and phase transformation of seismicity, the sub-regions whose rupture probability reaches or exceeds the percolation threshold are discussed and the recent seismic activity trends in Liaoning Province are discussed .