Morphodynamic Characteristics and Medium-Term Simulation of the North?South Passage Under the Impact

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The morphological evolution characteristics of the North?South Passage area since the construction of the YangtzeEstuary Deepwater Navigation Channel Project (DNCP) are analyzed on the basis of the measured data. A two-dimensional morphodynamics numerical model of the Yangtze Estuary is established to verify the morphological evolution of the North?South Passage under the influence of the DNCP and to predict the future evolution in the next 40 years. Data analysis shows that the North Passage has experienced rapid adjustment stages and adaptive stages after the construction of the DNCP. Slow erosion occurred along the main channel, and slow siltation could be observed in the area between the groins. The South Passage showed a state of upper section erosion and down section deposition. At present, the whole South Passage is in a slight erosion state. According to the numerical model, the eroding and silting speed of the North Passage will slow down in the future. The present state that erosion occurs in the main channel and siltation occurs between the groins will continue. The South Passage will still maintain upper section erosion and down section deposition in the future. Due to the main channel erosion of the North Passage and siltation of the South Passage, the sediment division ratio of the North Passage will increase in the future but still be smaller than 50%. After morphological evolution of 40 years, the direction of residual sediment transport caused by M2 and M4 tidal components in the North Passage has not changed, but the transport rate will decrease. It is considered that the morphological evolution of the North?South Passage could reach a relatively stable state after 40 years.
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